Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.000121 3.550203 4.200976 5.035506 6.088630 7.388845 9.139871e+00
2024-10-20 2.254349 2.941235 3.863683 5.226730 7.249917 10.246189 1.523355e+01
2024-10-27 1.813957 2.505591 3.507549 5.125434 7.797740 12.291260 2.106027e+01
2024-11-03 1.642757 2.385454 3.536581 5.553691 9.244682 16.295931 3.261094e+01
2024-11-10 1.467566 2.215278 3.437417 5.725495 10.287593 20.034150 4.646953e+01
2024-11-17 1.349279 2.109076 3.412617 6.008856 11.632112 25.074606 6.828956e+01
2024-11-24 1.207887 1.938524 3.239284 5.958080 12.250862 28.769500 9.049006e+01
2024-12-01 1.108239 1.823933 3.144315 6.037914 13.197336 33.913799 1.253066e+02
2024-12-08 1.019387 1.715161 3.039911 6.069498 14.040776 39.353678 1.715555e+02
2024-12-15 0.967317 1.666683 3.044625 6.347663 15.664176 48.658288 2.617855e+02
2024-12-22 0.885631 1.550731 2.892164 6.214404 16.058707 53.828330 3.422644e+02
2024-12-29 0.826094 1.470967 2.803875 6.221416 16.902879 61.713635 4.795914e+02
2025-01-05 0.749009 1.357024 2.646181 6.074485 17.422015 70.002304 6.938706e+02
2025-01-12 0.704101 1.305519 2.625150 6.314218 19.547492 90.487401 1.340865e+03
2025-01-19 0.643452 1.211999 2.489184 6.186081 20.232204 104.212415 2.178363e+03
2025-01-26 0.626226 1.209115 2.568240 6.729511 24.121453 149.997743 6.441532e+03
2025-02-02 0.593942 1.168216 2.545458 6.948270 26.795740 195.634565 1.822578e+04
2025-02-09 0.570712 1.144542 2.562275 7.309971 30.581798 270.108584 8.659710e+04
2025-02-16 0.533036 1.082470 2.466420 7.245075 32.033779 324.532634 3.722409e+05
2025-02-23 0.505262 1.040608 2.418818 7.347125 34.661875 416.154019 6.830340e+06
2025-03-02 0.478088 0.997032 2.359333 7.387521 37.018550 525.426767 4.133674e+14
2025-03-09 0.462822 0.980903 2.375845 7.743874 42.112735 762.591048 NaN
2025-03-16 0.433915 0.927447 2.274141 7.573030 43.069140 899.092059 NaN